Wide Receiver Sleepers - 2009 Fantasy Football Preseason

Last year I watched the week one Monday Night games from the Keno seats outside the Caesar’s sportsbook in Vegas (I was on my laptop so I couldn’t sit in the sportsbook). I had missed my red-eye flight home on Sunday night so decided to stick around and watch the double MNF games. On their first offensive play of the season the Denver Broncos Cutler handed the ball off to Royal in an End Around. I was watching Royal specifically - I had competed in the World Championship of Fantasy Football draft that weekend in Vegas and one of my league mates drafted Royal in the 9th round. He was hardly even showing up on ADP charts at the time, so this was shocking to me. However, it turned out to be a great pick. Royal was a top 15 WR in the WCOFF scoring format. After that first End Around I knew something was up and picked up Royal in every league that had an open Waiver Wire. Cutler to Royal went on to connect 9 times for 146 yards that game.

What’s my point with all this? Royal was a SUPER sleeper last year in PPR leagues. He was rarely even drafted. Jay Cutler’s precise and daring arm was a huge reason Royal was such a big factor. Cutler’s arm now moves on to Chicago, where we find a slew of unheralded WRs (just like Royal was). Devin Hester is the #1 and he is being drafted around the 8th to 10th round. That could prove to be solid value, making Hester a bit of a sleeper in my book. Orton’s embarrassing long bombs that missed a wide open Hester by 20 yards are a thing of the past. Hester’s numbers will take a big jump, but he’s not the true sleeper here.

Earl Bennett
will be the biggest beneficiary of the Cutler trade. This second year WR set the SEC career receptions record in only three seasons. Bennett’s QB in his rookie season was none other than Jay Cutler, and they were quite the dynamic duo. They are reunited and OTA’s proved Bennett the clear #2 WR. The situation in Chicago is drastically different than the one Cutler and Royal faced in Denver. I’m not saying Cutler to Bennett will produce a top 15 fantasy WR, but I am saying that Bennett could easily catch 75 balls this season. Expect Bennett to get surprisingly close to 1000 yards ad score 5-7 TDs. For guys in deeper leagues Bennett is a true diamond in the rough. He’s currently going between the 13th and 15th rounds as a WR5 or 6.

Bernard Berrian and Sidney Rice - Brett Favre is coming back and these two guys stand to be major beneficiaries. Berrian was a top 25 WR last season despite catching under 70 balls. I expect his receptions, yards, and TDs to rise with Favre under center. Don’t be surprised if Berrian cracks the top 15 WR list. He’s currently going as the 27th WR, behind guys like Eddie Royal, DeSean Jackson, and Lee Evans. This will be Berrian’s first season with a quality QB - skip the other guys and take a chance on his upside. Berrian’s counterpart, red zone specialist Sidney Rice, will also see a nice jump. His current ADP of 199 represents great value. If you’re in a deep league take a stab at him instead of duds like Muhsin Muhammed.

Steve Smith Lite - You may remember this offseason that the Giants offered a 2nd and 5th round pick plus Domenik Hixon or Mario Manningham to the Browns for Braylon Edwards. Reports say the Browns countered with a 2nd and 5th plus Steve Smith, but the Giants turned it down. That tells me that NY has big plans for Smith. The talented receiver will be a chain mover this season. Expect him to have the most targets on this team by a significant margin. In PPR leagues I think he will be a solid WR4. He should be the first Giants receiver off the board, but for some reason he’s being drafted behind both Hixon and newcomer Hakeem Nicks. Nix, Hixon, and Manningham may all compete for playing time at flanker this season while Smith will be the steady presence.

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